Overcoming Bias began in November '06 as a group blog on the general theme of how to move our beliefs closer to reality, in the face of our natural biases such as overconfidence and wishful thinking, and our bias to believe we have corrected for such biases, when we have done no such thing.
This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.